Trump and the Return of Colonialism in the Third Gulf War: By Mustafa Kamal Al-Amir

Israel has set Saturday, the 10th of Ramadan in 2026, as the date for the start of a full-scale war on Iran, coinciding with the Jewish holiday of Purim, which commemorates their deliverance from the Persian Empire some 2,500 years ago.

This comes as a way to avoid implementing the second phase of the peace plan and the reconstruction of the completely devastated Gaza Strip.

This is part of a new tripartite aggression launched by the United States, Israel, and Britain against Iran, which appears to be defending itself alone in a battle that seems all but decided, unless powers like Pakistan, China, or Russia intervene.

Will this be a repeat of the Suez War scenario of 1956?

Will Iran become the final nail in the coffin of the American empire?

Will the Arab monarchies be next?

After the destruction of several Arab republics in the region, as happened in Libya, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Sudan, through military intervention, armed revolutions, and civil wars, some are asking an important question: Will the Arab monarchies be next? The possibility of partitioning Iran is also being raised, especially given the talk of arming the Kurds, which could prompt Turkey to intervene to prevent the establishment of an independent Kurdish entity stretching across Syria, Iraq, and Iran.

Infrastructure Warfare: The war has witnessed strikes targeting civilian facilities and critical infrastructure, such as water and power plants. Observers fear that such strikes could lead to humanitarian crises, particularly given the drought affecting Tehran and some other Iranian cities.

These scenes are reminiscent of the 2003 Iraq War, when intelligence and military assessments became part of the media and political warfare. The Assassination Series
In recent decades, the world has witnessed a series of assassinations and overthrows of influential leaders and figures, including:
Saddam Hussein in Iraq (2006)
Muammar Gaddafi in Libya (2011)
Osama bin Laden (2011)
Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran (2024)
Yahya Sinwar in Gaza
Hassan Nasrallah and his successor in Lebanon (2025)
Some question whether this policy is part of a broader strategy to reshape the balance of power in the region.

The Regional Conflict Trap
Another question is whether the United States and Israel consulted with the Gulf states before deciding to wage war on Iran.

Some analysts believe that the most dangerous aspect of the conflict is the possibility of it escalating into a sectarian confrontation between Sunni and Shia Muslims or a wider regional war, which could drain the entire region.

Conversely, Israel and other parties might benefit from the continuation of the conflict to expand their influence and achieve political and strategic gains. The Exhaustion of Major Powers
The United States sought to exhaust Russia in the Ukrainian war, but prolonged global conflicts could also deplete America's own resources and ammunition.

Protracted wars not only consume small nations but can also weaken even superpowers economically and militarily.

Towards a Regional or Global War?

The Gaza war has escalated into an open regional conflict, with the potential involvement of other actors such as Hezbollah or the Houthis. If international powers like China, Russia, or North Korea enter the fray, the balance of power could shift dramatically.

Such a scenario could transform the confrontation into an uncontrollable global war.

Global Economic Repercussions
A third Gulf War threatens freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most vital energy chokepoints.

Furthermore, rising oil and gas prices could trigger a new wave of inflation in Europe and Asia, impacting the entire global economy.

A Clash of Narratives
Some argue that the conflict in the Middle East is no longer solely political, but has also acquired religious and cultural dimensions, as different historical narratives and political projects clash in the region. Given the divisions plaguing Islamic and Arab states, the region appears more vulnerable to foreign intervention.

The New World Order
In a world governed by the balance of power, a clear principle emerges: either states possess sufficient power to protect their interests, or they find themselves victims and excluded from international decision-making.

Major powers constantly strive to protect their strategic interests, particularly in resource-rich regions.

Egypt and the Equation of Stability
Amid this turbulent landscape, many believe that the stability of major powers in the region is essential for maintaining balance in the Middle East. History offers numerous examples, such as the Battle of Ain Jalut and the Battle of Hattin, which marked turning points in the region's history.

Following Trump's misleading American propaganda about an Iranian drone plan to strike California (12,000 km away)
to justify a nuclear attack on Iran
In conclusion, the world has witnessed throughout its history the fall of major regimes and ideologies, such as:
Nazism in Germany in 1945
Soviet Communism in 1991
The apartheid regime in South Africa in 1994
The question remains:
Will the world witness new major transformations in the coming years?

And will Zionism also fall soon?

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